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FTMatchday 34

Bayern Munich vs Köln: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
Bayern MunichKöln
  1. Harry Kaneassist Joshua Kimmich10'
  2. Harry Kaneassist Joshua Kimmich13'
  3. 18'Said El Mala
  4. Tom Bischofassist Lennart Karl22'
  5. 34'Joël Schmiedyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1545 – 1440

Recent form

Bayern MunichWWWDW
KölnWDLDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Bayern Munich32+8585
2Köln32-1231

Head to head

  • Köln 1–3 Bayern Munich2026-01-14

Match preview

Bayern Munich host Köln in the Bundesliga on 16 May 2026. Bayern Munich sit 1st on 85 points and Köln are 14th on 31. Bayern Munich have won 4 of their last 5 (WWWDW), while Köln have won 1 of 5 (WDLDL). In their last 1 meetings, Bayern Munich won 1, Köln won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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