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FTMatchday 28

Bayer Leverkusen vs Wolfsburg: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
Bayer LeverkusenWolfsburg
  1. 16'Jonas Windassist Konstantinos Koulierakis
  2. 29'Joakim Mæhleyellow card
  3. Alex Grimaldopenalty30'
  4. 31'Joakim Mæhle

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1506 – 1452

Recent form

Bayer LeverkusenDWDDD
WolfsburgDLLDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Bayer Leverkusen32+1656
2Wolfsburg32-2229

Head to head

  • Wolfsburg 1–3 Bayer Leverkusen2025-11-22

Match preview

Bayer Leverkusen host Wolfsburg in the Bundesliga on 4 April 2026. Bayer Leverkusen sit 6th on 56 points and Wolfsburg are 15th on 29. Bayer Leverkusen have won 1 of their last 5 (DWDDD), while Wolfsburg have won 0 of 5 (DLLDL). In their last 1 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 1, Wolfsburg won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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