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FTMatchday 2

Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
Bayer LeverkusenUnion Berlin
  1. Ezequiel Fernándezassist Miguel Gutiérrez1'
  2. 4'Felix Uduokhaiyellow card
  3. Facundo Medinaassist Miguel Gutiérrez28'
  4. 47'Zeno Van Den Boschyellow card
  5. Patrik Schickassist Jarell Quansah48'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1506 – 1457

Recent form

Bayer LeverkusenWWLDL
Union BerlinLDWWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Bayer Leverkusen7+212
2Union Berlin6-106

Head to head

  • Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 Union Berlin2025-10-04

Match preview

Bayer Leverkusen host Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on 5 September 2026. Bayer Leverkusen sit 7th on 12 points and Union Berlin are 15th on 6. Bayer Leverkusen have won 2 of their last 5 (WWLDL), while Union Berlin have won 2 of 5 (LDWWD). In their last 1 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 1, Union Berlin won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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