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FTMatchday 4

Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig: Prediction

Bayer Leverkusen2
FT
RB Leipzig0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
Bayer LeverkusenRB Leipzig
  1. 11'Antonio Nusayellow card
  2. 26'Brajan Grudaon
  3. Patrik Schickassist Miguel Gutiérrez44'
  4. Miguel Gutiérrez57'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1506 – 1482

Recent form

Bayer LeverkusenWLDLW
RB LeipzigWLWLL
#TeamPGDPts
1RB Leipzig7+612
2Bayer Leverkusen7+212

Head to head

  • Bayer Leverkusen 4–1 RB Leipzig2026-05-02
  • RB Leipzig 1–3 Bayer Leverkusen2025-12-20

Match preview

Bayer Leverkusen host RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on 20 September 2026. Bayer Leverkusen sit 7th on 12 points and RB Leipzig are 6th on 12. Bayer Leverkusen have won 2 of their last 5 (WLDLW), while RB Leipzig have won 2 of 5 (WLWLL). In their last 2 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 2, RB Leipzig won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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