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FTMatchday 34

Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburg: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1506 – 1468

Recent form

Bayer LeverkusenWLWWL
HamburgLLLWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Bayer Leverkusen32+1656
2Hamburg32-1436

Head to head

  • Hamburg 0–1 Bayer Leverkusen2026-03-04

Match preview

Bayer Leverkusen host Hamburg in the Bundesliga on 16 May 2026. Bayer Leverkusen sit 6th on 56 points and Hamburg are 11th on 36. Bayer Leverkusen have won 3 of their last 5 (WLWWL), while Hamburg have won 2 of 5 (LLLWW). In their last 1 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 1, Hamburg won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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