Kick-off · Sun, 31 Jan, 09:30 pm ISTMatchday 22
Barcelona vs Valencia: Prediction
Barcelona72%Home win
Valencia72% Home win17% Draw11% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score2-0
Expected goals (model)2.28 – 0.74
Team rating (Elo)1525 – 1455
Recent form
BarcelonaWWWLLValenciaWLDDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 9 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 | Valencia | 9 | -9 | 6 |
Head to head
- Valencia 0–5 Barcelona2026-09-06
- Valencia 3–1 Barcelona2026-05-23
- Barcelona 6–0 Valencia2025-09-14
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
