Kick-off · Sun, 2 May, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 34
Barcelona vs Osasuna: Prediction
Barcelona73%Home win
Osasuna73% Home win17% Draw10% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score2-0
Expected goals (model)2.34 – 0.72
Team rating (Elo)1525 – 1431
Recent form
BarcelonaWWWLLOsasunaLDLWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 9 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 | Osasuna | 9 | -11 | 8 |
Head to head
- Osasuna 1–2 Barcelona2026-05-02
- Barcelona 2–0 Osasuna2025-12-13
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
