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FTMatchday 18

Bali United vs Semen Padang: Prediction

📍 Stadion Kapten I Wayan Dipta

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1576 – 1407

Recent form

Bali UnitedWWDWW
Semen PadangLWLLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Bali United31+1150
2Semen Padang31-3620

Head to head

  • Semen Padang 1–3 Bali United2025-09-26

Match preview

Bali United host Semen Padang in the Liga 1 Indonesia on 24 January 2026. Bali United sit 5th on 50 points and Semen Padang are 17th on 20. Bali United have won 4 of their last 5 (WWDWW), while Semen Padang have won 1 of 5 (LWLLL). In their last 1 meetings, Bali United won 1, Semen Padang won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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