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FTMatchday 4

Bali United vs Madura United: Prediction

📍 Stadion Kapten I Wayan Dipta

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
Bali UnitedMadura United
  1. Brandon Wilsonon46'
  2. Mirza Mustafićpenalty64'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1576 – 1506

Recent form

Bali UnitedDDL
Madura UnitedLWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Bali United31+1150
2Madura United31-1434

Head to head

  • Madura United 2–0 Bali United2026-05-05

Match preview

Bali United host Madura United in the Liga 1 Indonesia on 30 August 2025. Bali United sit 5th on 50 points and Madura United are 13th on 34. Bali United have won 0 of their last 3 (DDL), while Madura United have won 1 of 3 (LWD). In their last 1 meetings, Bali United won 0, Madura United won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming