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FTMatchday 16

Bali United vs Arema: Prediction

📍 Stadion Kapten I Wayan Dipta

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals
Bali UnitedArema
  1. 64'Rifad Marasabessyon
  2. Mirza Mustafićon87'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1576 – 1495

Recent form

Bali UnitedLDWWD
AremaLDDDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Bali United31+1150
2Arema31+242

Head to head

  • Arema 1–3 Bali United2026-10-31
  • Arema 3–4 Bali United2026-03-06

Match preview

Bali United host Arema in the Liga 1 Indonesia on 4 January 2026. Bali United sit 5th on 50 points and Arema are 10th on 42. Bali United have won 2 of their last 5 (LDWWD), while Arema have won 0 of 5 (LDDDL). In their last 2 meetings, Bali United won 2, Arema won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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