Kick-off · Sat, 5 Dec, 08:00 pm ISTMatchday 12
Augsburg vs Köln: Prediction
Augsburg56%Home win
Köln56% Home win22% Draw22% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score2-1
Expected goals (model)2.01 – 1.19
Team rating (Elo)1498 – 1440
Recent form
AugsburgWLDLDKölnLLWLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Augsburg | 6 | +4 | 8 |
| 2 | Köln | 6 | -3 | 7 |
Head to head
- Augsburg 2–0 Köln2026-02-27
- Köln 1–1 Augsburg2025-10-18
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
