Kick-off · Sun, 17 Jan, 09:30 pm ISTMatchday 20
Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad: Prediction
Atlético Madrid55%Home win
Real Sociedad55% Home win24% Draw21% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-0
Expected goals (model)1.74 – 0.97
Team rating (Elo)1517 – 1519
Recent form
Atlético MadridWWWDWReal SociedadLWWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Madrid | 9 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 | Real Sociedad | 9 | +4 | 19 |
Head to head
- Real Sociedad 0–3 Atlético Madrid2026-09-13
- Atlético Madrid 3–2 Real Sociedad2026-03-07
- Real Sociedad 1–1 Atlético Madrid2026-01-04
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
