Kick-off · Sun, 20 Dec, 09:30 pm ISTMatchday 17
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Betis: Prediction
Athletic Bilbao38%Away win
Real Betis36% Home win26% Draw38% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.28 – 1.32
Team rating (Elo)1483 – 1527
Recent form
Athletic BilbaoDDDLWReal BetisWWLWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Betis | 9 | +1 | 17 |
| 2 | Athletic Bilbao | 8 | +5 | 12 |
Head to head
- Athletic Bilbao 2–1 Real Betis2026-03-22
- Real Betis 1–2 Athletic Bilbao2025-08-31
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
