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FTMatchday 11

Atalanta vs Sassuolo: Prediction

📍 Gewiss Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
AtalantaSassuolo
  1. 29'Domenico Berardipenalty
  2. 36'Arijanet Murićyellow card
  3. Odilon Kossounouon46'
  4. Édersonon46'
  5. 47'Andrea Pinamontiassist Domenico Berardi
  6. Nikola Krstovićon58'
  7. 60'Alieu Faderaon
  8. 66'Domenico Berardiassist Kristian Thorstvedt
  9. Ademola Lookmanon78'
  10. 79'Fali Candéyellow card
  11. 81'Fali Candéon
  12. Davide Zappacostaon83'
  13. 90'Ismaël Konéon
  14. 90'Domenico Berardion
  15. 90'Andrea Pinamontion

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

AtalantaSassuolo
  • 67%Possession33%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)2
  • 14Shots8
  • 2Shots on target4
  • 4Corners1
  • 9Fouls8
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides2
  • 1Saves1
  • 654Passes324

Line-ups

Atalanta

  • 8Mario Pasalic
  • 77Davide Zappacosta
  • 11Ademola Lookman
  • 16Raoul Bellanova
  • 3Odilon Kossounou
  • 29Marco Carnesecchi
  • 10Lazar Samardžić
  • 4Isak Hien
  • 13Éderson
  • 90Nikola Krstović
  • 69Honest Ahanor

Sassuolo

  • 18Nemanja Matic
  • 10Domenico Berardi
  • 6Sebastian Walukiewicz
  • 99Andrea Pinamonti
  • 49Arijanet Murić
  • 42Kristian Thorstvedt
  • 5Fali Candé
  • 21Jay Idzes
  • 90Ismaël Koné
  • 20Alieu Fadera
  • 80Tarik Muharemović

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1515 – 1436

Recent form

AtalantaDDDLW
SassuoloWDLWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Atalanta35+1454
2Sassuolo35-248

Head to head

  • Atalanta 2–1 Sassuolo2026-08-23
  • Sassuolo 2–1 Atalanta2026-03-01

Match preview

Atalanta host Sassuolo in the Serie A on 9 November 2025. Atalanta sit 7th on 54 points and Sassuolo are 9th on 48. Atalanta have won 1 of their last 5 (DDDLW), while Sassuolo have won 2 of 5 (WDLWL). In their last 2 meetings, Atalanta won 1, Sassuolo won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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