Kick-off · Sun, 17 Jan, 11:00 pm ISTMatchday 20
Atalanta vs Roma: Prediction
Atalanta45%Away win
Roma30% Home win25% Draw45% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.20 – 1.51
Team rating (Elo)1515 – 1508
Recent form
AtalantaLWLDDRomaLWWDW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 | Atalanta | 8 | -2 | 8 |
Head to head
- Roma 2–1 Atalanta2026-09-05
- Roma 1–1 Atalanta2026-04-18
- Atalanta 1–0 Roma2026-01-03
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
