Atalanta vs Roma: Prediction
📍 Gewiss Stadium
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- ⚽Giorgio Scalvini12'
- Marten de Roonyellow card19'
- ⇄Sead Kolasinacon26'
- 43'Gianluca Manciniyellow card
- 45'Mario Hermosoyellow card
- 46'⇄Jan Ziolkowskion
- ⇄Giorgio Scalvinion59'
- ⇄Nicola Zalewskion59'
- 60'⇄Evan Fergusonon
- 60'⇄Devyne Renschon
- 67'⇄Matías Souléon
- ⇄Gianluca Scamaccaon71'
- ⇄Édersonon72'
- 83'⇄Manu Konéon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 45%Possession55%
- 2Expected goals (xG)1
- 13Shots10
- 2Shots on target4
- 7Corners5
- 16Fouls15
- 1Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides1
- 3Saves1
- 384Passes462
Line-ups
Atalanta
- 77Davide Zappacosta
- 15Marten de Roon
- 23Sead Kolasinac
- 19Berat Djimsiti
- 17Charles De Ketelaere
- 9Gianluca Scamacca
- 29Marco Carnesecchi
- 59Nicola Zalewski
- 42Giorgio Scalvini
- 13Éderson
- 47Lorenzo Bernasconi
Roma
- 4Bryan Cristante
- 21Paulo Dybala
- 23Gianluca Mancini
- 99Mile Svilar
- 19Zeki Çelik
- 22Mario Hermoso
- 17Manu Koné
- 2Devyne Rensch
- 11Evan Ferguson
- 18Matías Soulé
- 24Jan Ziolkowski
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
AtalantaWWLWL
RomaWLLLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 35 | +27 | 67 |
| 2 | Atalanta | 35 | +14 | 54 |
Head to head
- Roma 2–1 Atalanta2026-09-05
- Roma 1–1 Atalanta2026-04-18
Match preview
Atalanta host Roma in the Serie A on 3 January 2026. Atalanta sit 7th on 54 points and Roma are 4th on 67. Atalanta have won 3 of their last 5 (WWLWL), while Roma have won 2 of 5 (WLLLW). In their last 2 meetings, Atalanta won 0, Roma won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
