Atalanta vs Parma: Prediction
📍 Gewiss Stadium
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
4 goals- ⚽Gianluca Scamaccapenalty15'
- ⚽Marten de Roonassist Charles De Ketelaere24'
- ⇄Berat Djimsition46'
- 46'⇄Adrian Benedyczakon
- 46'⇄Alessandro Circation
- 46'⇄Nahuell Estévezon
- Gianluca Scamaccayellow card53'
- ⇄Nicola Zalewskion60'
- ⇄Gianluca Scamaccaon60'
- 64'⇄Oliver Sørensenon
- ⇄Charles De Ketelaereon72'
- ⚽Giacomo Raspadoriassist Nikola Krstović73'
- ⇄Marten de Roonon78'
- 85'⇄Mandela Keitaon
- ⚽Nikola Krstović90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 48%Possession52%
- 4.18Expected goals (xG)1.65
- 21Shots15
- 9Shots on target2
- 6Corners9
- 14Fouls8
- 1Yellow cards0
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides0
- 2Saves4
- 429Passes457
Line-ups
Atalanta
- 77Davide Zappacosta
- 15Marten de Roon
- 19Berat Djimsiti
- 18Giacomo Raspadori
- 17Charles De Ketelaere
- 9Gianluca Scamacca
- 29Marco Carnesecchi
- 59Nicola Zalewski
- 42Giorgio Scalvini
- 13Éderson
- 69Honest Ahanor
Parma
- 8Nahuell Estévez
- 5Lautaro Valenti
- 15Enrico Del Prato
- 22Oliver Sørensen
- 16Mandela Keita
- 7Adrian Benedyczak
- 10Adrián Bernabé
- 39Alessandro Circati
- 40Edoardo Corvi
- 37Mariano Troilo
- 27Sascha Britschgi
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | +14 | 54 | |
| 2 | 35 | -17 | 43 |
Head to head
- Atalanta 0–3 Parma2026-11-02
Match preview
Atalanta host Parma in the Serie A on 25 January 2026. Atalanta sit 7th on 54 points and Parma are 13th on 43. Atalanta have won 3 of their last 5 (LWWWD), while Parma have won 1 of 5 (DLWDD). In their last 1 meetings, Atalanta won 0, Parma won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

