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FTMatchday 22

Atalanta vs Parma: Prediction

📍 Gewiss Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
AtalantaParma
  1. Gianluca Scamaccapenalty15'
  2. Marten de Roonassist Charles De Ketelaere24'
  3. Berat Djimsition46'
  4. 46'Adrian Benedyczakon
  5. 46'Alessandro Circation
  6. 46'Nahuell Estévezon
  7. Gianluca Scamaccayellow card53'
  8. Nicola Zalewskion60'
  9. Gianluca Scamaccaon60'
  10. 64'Oliver Sørensenon
  11. Charles De Ketelaereon72'
  12. Giacomo Raspadoriassist Nikola Krstović73'
  13. Marten de Roonon78'
  14. 85'Mandela Keitaon
  15. Nikola Krstović90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

AtalantaParma
  • 48%Possession52%
  • 4.18Expected goals (xG)1.65
  • 21Shots15
  • 9Shots on target2
  • 6Corners9
  • 14Fouls8
  • 1Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides0
  • 2Saves4
  • 429Passes457

Line-ups

Atalanta

  • 77Davide Zappacosta
  • 15Marten de Roon
  • 19Berat Djimsiti
  • 18Giacomo Raspadori
  • 17Charles De Ketelaere
  • 9Gianluca Scamacca
  • 29Marco Carnesecchi
  • 59Nicola Zalewski
  • 42Giorgio Scalvini
  • 13Éderson
  • 69Honest Ahanor

Parma

  • 8Nahuell Estévez
  • 5Lautaro Valenti
  • 15Enrico Del Prato
  • 22Oliver Sørensen
  • 16Mandela Keita
  • 7Adrian Benedyczak
  • 10Adrián Bernabé
  • 39Alessandro Circati
  • 40Edoardo Corvi
  • 37Mariano Troilo
  • 27Sascha Britschgi

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1487 – 1454

Recent form

AtalantaLWWWD
ParmaDLWDD
#TeamPGDPts
1Atalanta35+1454
2Parma35-1743

Head to head

  • Atalanta 0–3 Parma2026-11-02

Match preview

Atalanta host Parma in the Serie A on 25 January 2026. Atalanta sit 7th on 54 points and Parma are 13th on 43. Atalanta have won 3 of their last 5 (LWWWD), while Parma have won 1 of 5 (DLWDD). In their last 1 meetings, Atalanta won 0, Parma won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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