Skip
EnglishEN ▾
FTMatchday 3

Atalanta vs Lecce: Prediction

📍 Gewiss Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals
AtalantaLecce
  1. Giorgio Scalviniassist Nicola Zalewski37'
  2. Charles De Ketelaereassist Nikola Krstović51'
  3. Mario Pasalicon59'
  4. 59'Riccardo Sottilon
  5. 60'Álex Salaon
  6. Nicola Zalewskiassist Nikola Krstović70'
  7. 71'Christ-Owen Kouassi Batheleon
  8. 71'Nikola Štulićon
  9. Charles De Ketelaere73'
  10. Kamaldeen Sulemanaon75'
  11. Charles De Ketelaereon75'
  12. Marten de Roonon76'
  13. 79'Jamil Sieberton
  14. 82'Konan N’Driassist Danilo Veiga
  15. Nicola Zalewskion85'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

AtalantaLecce
  • 57%Possession43%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)1
  • 19Shots12
  • 8Shots on target3
  • 8Corners2
  • 12Fouls7
  • 0Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Offsides1
  • 2Saves4
  • 455Passes353

Line-ups

Atalanta

  • 8Mario Pasalic
  • 15Marten de Roon
  • 16Raoul Bellanova
  • 3Odilon Kossounou
  • 17Charles De Ketelaere
  • 29Marco Carnesecchi
  • 59Nicola Zalewski
  • 4Isak Hien
  • 7Kamaldeen Sulemana
  • 42Giorgio Scalvini
  • 90Nikola Krstović

Lecce

  • 30Wladimiro Falcone
  • 23Riccardo Sottil
  • 29Lassana Coulibaly
  • 7Tete Morente
  • 20Ylber Ramadani
  • 25Antonino Gallo
  • 6Álex Sala
  • 9Nikola Štulić
  • 5Jamil Siebert
  • 4Kialonda Gaspar
  • 21Christ-Owen Kouassi

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1515 – 1431

Recent form

AtalantaD
LecceD
#TeamPGDPts
1Atalanta35+1454
2Lecce35-2232

Head to head

  • Lecce 0–3 Atalanta2026-04-06

Match preview

Atalanta host Lecce in the Serie A on 14 September 2025. Atalanta sit 7th on 54 points and Lecce are 17th on 32. Atalanta have won 0 of their last 1 (D), while Lecce have won 0 of 1 (D). In their last 1 meetings, Atalanta won 1, Lecce won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming