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FTMatchday 17

Atalanta vs Inter Milan: Prediction

📍 Gewiss Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals
AtalantaInter Milan
  1. Sead Kolasinacyellow card19'
  2. Davide Zappacostaon46'
  3. 77'Alessandro Bastoniyellow card
  4. Kamaldeen Sulemanayellow card80'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

AtalantaInter Milan
  • 45%Possession55%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)1
  • 7Shots15
  • 0Shots on target4
  • 4Corners7
  • 8Fouls12
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Offsides2
  • 3Saves0
  • 424Passes529

Line-ups

Atalanta

  • 8Mario Pasalic
  • 77Davide Zappacosta
  • 15Marten de Roon
  • 23Sead Kolasinac
  • 19Berat Djimsiti
  • 17Charles De Ketelaere
  • 9Gianluca Scamacca
  • 29Marco Carnesecchi
  • 59Nicola Zalewski
  • 4Isak Hien
  • 13Éderson

Inter Milan

  • 32Federico Dimarco
  • 23Nicolo Barella
  • 20Hakan Çalhanoğlu
  • 25Manuel Akanji
  • 7Piotr Zieliński
  • 1Yann Sommer
  • 10Lautaro Martínez
  • 9Marcus Thuram
  • 95Alessandro Bastoni
  • 11Luis Henrique
  • 31Yann Bisseck

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1515 – 1537

Recent form

AtalantaLWWLW
Inter MilanWLLWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Inter Milan35+5584
2Atalanta35+1454

Head to head

  • Inter Milan 1–1 Atalanta2026-03-14

Match preview

Atalanta host Inter Milan in the Serie A on 28 December 2025. Atalanta sit 7th on 54 points and Inter Milan are 1st on 84. Atalanta have won 3 of their last 5 (LWWLW), while Inter Milan have won 3 of 5 (WLLWW). In their last 1 meetings, Atalanta won 0, Inter Milan won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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