Kick-off · Sun, 13 Dec, 11:00 pm ISTMatchday 15
Atalanta vs Genoa: Prediction
Atalanta53%Home win
Genoa53% Home win24% Draw23% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.73 – 1.06
Team rating (Elo)1515 – 1461
Recent form
AtalantaLWLDDGenoaLWLWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Genoa | 8 | -4 | 10 |
| 2 | Atalanta | 8 | -2 | 8 |
Head to head
- Atalanta 0–0 Genoa2026-05-02
- Genoa 0–1 Atalanta2025-12-21
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
