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FTMatchday 35

Atalanta vs Genoa: Prediction

📍 New Balance Arena

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals
AtalantaGenoa
  1. 19'Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filhoyellow card
  2. 56'Lorenzo Colomboon
  3. Gianluca Scamaccaon57'
  4. Berat Djimsition57'
  5. Édersonyellow card64'
  6. 69'Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filhoon
  7. 70'Jeff Ekhator Osayukion
  8. Marten de Roonon76'
  9. Charles De Ketelaereon76'
  10. Nikola Krstovićyellow card78'
  11. Davide Zappacostaon85'
  12. 86'Stefano Sabellion
  13. 86'Vítor Oliveiraon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

AtalantaGenoa
  • 60%Possession40%
  • 1.35Expected goals (xG)0.54
  • 21Shots7
  • 7Shots on target2
  • 6Corners2
  • 14Fouls10
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides0
  • 2Saves7
  • 471Passes322

Line-ups

Atalanta

  • 77Davide Zappacosta
  • 15Marten de Roon
  • 19Berat Djimsiti
  • 17Charles De Ketelaere
  • 9Gianluca Scamacca
  • 29Marco Carnesecchi
  • 59Nicola Zalewski
  • 42Giorgio Scalvini
  • 13Éderson
  • 90Nikola Krstović
  • 69Honest Ahanor

Genoa

  • 20Stefano Sabelli
  • 16Justin Bijlow
  • 29Lorenzo Colombo
  • 32Morten Wetche Frendrup
  • 5Leo Østigård
  • 22Johan Vasquez
  • 9Vítor Oliveira
  • 77Mikael Egill Ellertsson
  • 27Alessandro Marcandalli
  • 21Jeff Ekhator Osayuki
  • 4Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1515 – 1472

Recent form

AtalantaWWLDL
GenoaLLWWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Atalanta35+1454
2Genoa35-938

Head to head

  • Genoa 0–1 Atalanta2025-12-21

Match preview

Atalanta host Genoa in the Serie A on 2 May 2026. Atalanta sit 7th on 54 points and Genoa are 16th on 38. Atalanta have won 2 of their last 5 (WWLDL), while Genoa have won 2 of 5 (LLWWL). In their last 1 meetings, Atalanta won 1, Genoa won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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