Atalanta vs Fiorentina: Prediction
📍 Gewiss Stadium
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- ⚽Odilon Kossounouassist Charles De Ketelaere41'
- ⚽Ademola Lookman52'
- 59'Marin Pongračićyellow card
- 64'⇄Dodôon
- 64'⇄Nicolò Fagiolion
- ⇄Édersonon67'
- ⇄Davide Zappacostaon67'
- 69'Pablo Maríyellow card
- 71'Rolando Mandragorayellow card
- 75'⇄Pablo Maríon
- ⇄Ademola Lookmanon77'
- ⇄Gianluca Scamaccaon77'
- 79'⇄Simon Sohmon
- 80'⇄Roberto Piccolion
- Isak Hienyellow card84'
- ⇄Isak Hienon86'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 48%Possession52%
- 2Expected goals (xG)1
- 22Shots15
- 9Shots on target3
- 4Corners5
- 15Fouls10
- 1Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides1
- 3Saves7
- 427Passes466
Line-ups
Atalanta
- 77Davide Zappacosta
- 15Marten de Roon
- 11Ademola Lookman
- 19Berat Djimsiti
- 16Raoul Bellanova
- 3Odilon Kossounou
- 17Charles De Ketelaere
- 9Gianluca Scamacca
- 29Marco Carnesecchi
- 4Isak Hien
- 13Éderson
Fiorentina
- 43David de Gea
- 8Rolando Mandragora
- 18Pablo Marí
- 20Moise Kean
- 91Roberto Piccoli
- 6Luca Ranieri
- 5Marin Pongračić
- 2Dodô
- 7Simon Sohm
- 65Fabiano Parisi
- 44Nicolò Fagioli
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
AtalantaLWLLW
FiorentinaDLLDD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atalanta | 35 | +14 | 54 |
| 2 | Fiorentina | 35 | -8 | 40 |
Head to head
- Fiorentina 2–2 Atalanta2026-10-29
- Fiorentina 1–1 Atalanta2026-05-22
Match preview
Atalanta host Fiorentina in the Serie A on 30 November 2025. Atalanta sit 7th on 54 points and Fiorentina are 15th on 40. Atalanta have won 2 of their last 5 (LWLLW), while Fiorentina have won 0 of 5 (DLLDD). In their last 2 meetings, Atalanta won 0, Fiorentina won 0 and 2 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
