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FTMatchday 30

Arema vs Persebaya Surabaya: Prediction

📍 Stadion Kanjuruhan

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1495 – 1563

Recent form

AremaLDWWD
Persebaya SurabayaLWLLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Persebaya Surabaya31+2756
2Arema31+242

Head to head

  • Persebaya Surabaya 1–1 Arema2025-11-22

Match preview

Arema host Persebaya Surabaya in the Liga 1 Indonesia on 28 April 2026. Arema sit 10th on 42 points and Persebaya Surabaya are 4th on 56. Arema have won 2 of their last 5 (LDWWD), while Persebaya Surabaya have won 2 of 5 (LWLLW). In their last 1 meetings, Arema won 0, Persebaya Surabaya won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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