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FTMatchday 15

Arema vs Madura United: Prediction

📍 Stadion Kanjuruhan

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals
AremaMadura United
  1. Rifad Marasabessyon66'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1495 – 1506

Recent form

AremaWWLDD
Madura UnitedWDWLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Arema31+242
2Madura United31-1434

Head to head

  • Madura United 2–2 Arema2026-02-21

Match preview

Arema host Madura United in the Liga 1 Indonesia on 23 December 2025. Arema sit 10th on 42 points and Madura United are 13th on 34. Arema have won 2 of their last 5 (WWLDD), while Madura United have won 2 of 5 (WDWLL). In their last 1 meetings, Arema won 0, Madura United won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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