Kick-off · Sun, 16 May, 10:00 pm ISTMatchday 36
AC Milan vs Roma: Prediction
AC Milan38%Away win
Roma36% Home win26% Draw38% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.33 – 1.38
Team rating (Elo)1553 – 1508
Recent form
AC MilanWDWWLRomaLWWDW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 8 | +5 | 15 |
Head to head
- Roma 1–1 AC Milan2026-01-25
- AC Milan 1–0 Roma2025-11-02
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
