FTMatchday 10

AC Milan vs Roma: Prediction

📍 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan1

Roma0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal

AC MilanRoma

34'Neil El Aynaouiyellow card
Strahinja Pavlovićassist Rafael Leão39'
51'Matías Souléon
52'Neil El Aynaouion
74'Wesley Françayellow card
75'Zeki Çelikyellow card
77'Zeki Çelikon
Youssouf Fofanayellow card78'
83'Mario Hermosoyellow card
Christopher Nkunkuon84'
84'Mario Hermosoon
84'Paulo Dybalaon
Alexis Saelemaekerson88'
90'Gianluca Manciniyellow card
Rafael Leãoon90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

AC MilanRoma

37%Possession63%
3Expected goals (xG)2
17Shots20
8Shots on target6
7Corners8
12Fouls13
1Yellow cards5
0Red cards0
2Offsides1
7Saves6
313Passes523

Line-ups

AC Milan

14Luka Modric
16Mike Maignan
18Christopher Nkunku
10Rafael Leão
46Matteo Gabbia
19Youssouf Fofana
56Alexis Saelemaekers
4Samuele Ricci
31Strahinja Pavlović
5Koni De Winter
33Davide Bartesaghi

Roma

4Bryan Cristante
21Paulo Dybala
23Gianluca Mancini
99Mile Svilar
19Zeki Çelik
22Mario Hermoso
5Evan N'Dicka
17Manu Koné
18Matías Soulé
8Neil El Aynaoui
43Wesley França

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1571 – 1499

Recent form

AC MilanWDWDD

RomaWWLWW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Roma	35	+27	67
2	AC Milan	35	+15	63

Head to head

Roma 1–1 AC Milan2026-01-25

Match preview

AC Milan host Roma in the Serie A on 2 November 2025. AC Milan sit 5th on 63 points and Roma are 4th on 67. AC Milan have won 2 of their last 5 (WDWDD), while Roma have won 4 of 5 (WWLWW). In their last 1 meetings, AC Milan won 0, Roma won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.