Kick-off · Sun, 6 Dec, 11:00 pm ISTMatchday 14
AC Milan vs Parma: Prediction
AC Milan62%Home win
Parma62% Home win21% Draw17% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-0
Expected goals (model)1.99 – 0.92
Team rating (Elo)1553 – 1429
Recent form
AC MilanWDWWLParmaWLLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AC Milan | 8 | +5 | 15 |
| 2 | Parma | 8 | -8 | 5 |
Head to head
- AC Milan 0–1 Parma2026-02-22
- Parma 2–2 AC Milan2025-11-08
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
