Skip
EnglishEN ▾
FTMatchday 26

AC Milan vs Parma: Prediction

📍 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
AC MilanParma
  1. Ruben Loftus-Cheekon11'
  2. Alexis Saelemaekersyellow card32'
  3. 48'Mariano Troiloyellow card
  4. Rafael Leãoyellow card52'
  5. 59'Christian Ordoñezon
  6. 59'Adrián Bernabéon
  7. Christian Pulisicon62'
  8. Pervis Estupiñánon62'
  9. 76'Gabriel Espetoon
  10. 80'Mariano Troiloassist Emanuele Valeri
  11. Mariano Troiloon86'
  12. Fikayo Tomorion86'
  13. 90'Mateo Pellegrinoon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

AC MilanParma
  • 67%Possession33%
  • 1.33Expected goals (xG)0.46
  • 25Shots9
  • 6Shots on target3
  • 5Corners2
  • 13Fouls10
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides1
  • 2Saves5
  • 627Passes319

Line-ups

AC Milan

  • 8Ruben Loftus-Cheek
  • 14Luka Modric
  • 16Mike Maignan
  • 12Adrien Rabiot
  • 23Fikayo Tomori
  • 11Christian Pulisic
  • 10Rafael Leão
  • 56Alexis Saelemaekers
  • 2Pervis Estupiñán
  • 5Koni De Winter
  • 33Davide Bartesaghi

Parma

  • 5Lautaro Valenti
  • 7Gabriel Espeto
  • 15Enrico Del Prato
  • 14Emanuele Valeri
  • 16Mandela Keita
  • 24Christian Ordoñez
  • 10Adrián Bernabé
  • 40Edoardo Corvi
  • 9Mateo Pellegrino
  • 37Mariano Troilo
  • 27Sascha Britschgi

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1571 – 1454

Recent form

AC MilanWDWWD
ParmaDLLWW
#TeamPGDPts
1AC Milan35+1563
2Parma35-1743

Head to head

  • Parma 2–2 AC Milan2025-11-08

Match preview

AC Milan host Parma in the Serie A on 22 February 2026. AC Milan sit 5th on 63 points and Parma are 13th on 43. AC Milan have won 3 of their last 5 (WDWWD), while Parma have won 2 of 5 (DLLWW). In their last 1 meetings, AC Milan won 0, Parma won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming