AC Milan vs Parma: Prediction
📍 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- ⇄Ruben Loftus-Cheekon11'
- Alexis Saelemaekersyellow card32'
- 48'Mariano Troiloyellow card
- Rafael Leãoyellow card52'
- 59'⇄Christian Ordoñezon
- 59'⇄Adrián Bernabéon
- ⇄Christian Pulisicon62'
- ⇄Pervis Estupiñánon62'
- 76'⇄Gabriel Espetoon
- 80'⚽Mariano Troiloassist Emanuele Valeri
- ⇄Mariano Troiloon86'
- ⇄Fikayo Tomorion86'
- 90'⇄Mateo Pellegrinoon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 67%Possession33%
- 1.33Expected goals (xG)0.46
- 25Shots9
- 6Shots on target3
- 5Corners2
- 13Fouls10
- 2Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides1
- 2Saves5
- 627Passes319
Line-ups
AC Milan
- 8Ruben Loftus-Cheek
- 14Luka Modric
- 16Mike Maignan
- 12Adrien Rabiot
- 23Fikayo Tomori
- 11Christian Pulisic
- 10Rafael Leão
- 56Alexis Saelemaekers
- 2Pervis Estupiñán
- 5Koni De Winter
- 33Davide Bartesaghi
Parma
- 5Lautaro Valenti
- 7Gabriel Espeto
- 15Enrico Del Prato
- 14Emanuele Valeri
- 16Mandela Keita
- 24Christian Ordoñez
- 10Adrián Bernabé
- 40Edoardo Corvi
- 9Mateo Pellegrino
- 37Mariano Troilo
- 27Sascha Britschgi
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | +15 | 63 | |
| 2 | 35 | -17 | 43 |
Head to head
- Parma 2–2 AC Milan2025-11-08
Match preview
AC Milan host Parma in the Serie A on 22 February 2026. AC Milan sit 5th on 63 points and Parma are 13th on 43. AC Milan have won 3 of their last 5 (WDWWD), while Parma have won 2 of 5 (DLLWW). In their last 1 meetings, AC Milan won 0, Parma won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

