FTMatchday 21

AC Milan vs Lecce: Prediction

📍 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan1

Lecce0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals

AC MilanLecce

Koni De Winteryellow card21'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

AC MilanLecce

69%Possession31%
3.40Expected goals (xG)0.17
20Shots3
6Shots on target0
10Corners2
9Fouls11
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
6Offsides0
0Saves5
691Passes311

Line-ups

AC Milan

16Mike Maignan
12Adrien Rabiot
23Fikayo Tomori
11Christian Pulisic
10Rafael Leão
46Matteo Gabbia
56Alexis Saelemaekers
2Pervis Estupiñán
4Samuele Ricci
5Koni De Winter
30Ardon Jashari

Lecce

30Wladimiro Falcone
23Riccardo Sottil
29Lassana Coulibaly
20Ylber Ramadani
25Antonino Gallo
3Corrie Ndaba
50Santiago Pierotti
9Nikola Štulić
16Omri Gandelman
5Jamil Siebert
44Tiago Gabriel

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1571 – 1431

Recent form

AC MilanWWDDW

LecceLDLLL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	AC Milan	35	+15	63
2	Lecce	35	-22	32

Head to head

AC Milan 3–0 Lecce2026-09-20

Match preview

AC Milan host Lecce in the Serie A on 18 January 2026. AC Milan sit 5th on 63 points and Lecce are 17th on 32. AC Milan have won 3 of their last 5 (WWDDW), while Lecce have won 0 of 5 (LDLLL). In their last 1 meetings, AC Milan won 1, Lecce won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.