FTMatchday 13

AC Milan vs Lazio: Prediction

📍 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan1

Lazio0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal

AC MilanLazio

Fikayo Tomoriyellow card26'
Rafael Leãoassist Fikayo Tomori51'
57'Luca Pellegriniyellow card
62'Matias Vecinoon
62'Boulaye Diaon
Matteo Gabbiayellow card64'
Youssouf Fofanaon65'
70'Gustav Isaksenon
72'Alessio Romagnoliyellow card
Christopher Nkunkuon82'
85'Luca Pellegrinion
85'Toma Bašićon
Samuele Ricciyellow card89'
90'Mattia Zaccagniyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

AC MilanLazio

46%Possession54%
1Expected goals (xG)1
16Shots9
4Shots on target4
1Corners4
10Fouls12
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Offsides2
4Saves3
493Passes569

Line-ups

AC Milan

14Luka Modric
16Mike Maignan
12Adrien Rabiot
23Fikayo Tomori
18Christopher Nkunku
10Rafael Leão
46Matteo Gabbia
19Youssouf Fofana
56Alexis Saelemaekers
31Strahinja Pavlović
33Davide Bartesaghi

Lazio

5Matias Vecino
13Alessio Romagnoli
10Mattia Zaccagni
94Ivan Provedel
77Adam Marusic
8Matteo Guendouzi
3Luca Pellegrini
26Toma Bašić
19Boulaye Dia
18Gustav Isaksen
34Mario Gila

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1571 – 1593

Recent form

AC MilanDDWDW

LazioWDWLW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	AC Milan	35	+15	63
2	Lazio	35	-5	45

Head to head

Lazio 2–2 AC Milan2026-09-12
Lazio 1–0 AC Milan2026-03-15

Match preview

AC Milan host Lazio in the Serie A on 29 November 2025. AC Milan sit 5th on 63 points and Lazio are 10th on 45. AC Milan have won 2 of their last 5 (DDWDW), while Lazio have won 3 of 5 (WDWLW). In their last 2 meetings, AC Milan won 0, Lazio won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.