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FTMatchday 19

AC Milan vs Genoa: Prediction

📍 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
AC MilanGenoa
  1. 28'Lorenzo Colomboassist Ruslan Malinovskyi
  2. Youssouf Fofanaon46'
  3. 63'Morten Thorsbyon
  4. 64'Ruslan Malinovskyion
  5. Alexis Saelemaekerson65'
  6. Matteo Gabbiayellow card70'
  7. Matteo Gabbiaon75'
  8. 75'Vítor Oliveiraon
  9. 80'Nicola Lealiyellow card
  10. 83'Aarón Martínon
  11. 83'Lorenzo Colomboon
  12. Fikayo Tomoriyellow card90'
  13. Mike Maignanyellow card90'
  14. Rafael Leão90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

AC MilanGenoa
  • 61%Possession39%
  • 2.32Expected goals (xG)1.32
  • 32Shots7
  • 8Shots on target2
  • 12Corners1
  • 13Fouls8
  • 3Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides1
  • 1Saves7
  • 552Passes373

Line-ups

AC Milan

  • 14Luka Modric
  • 16Mike Maignan
  • 12Adrien Rabiot
  • 23Fikayo Tomori
  • 11Christian Pulisic
  • 10Rafael Leão
  • 46Matteo Gabbia
  • 19Youssouf Fofana
  • 56Alexis Saelemaekers
  • 31Strahinja Pavlović
  • 33Davide Bartesaghi

Genoa

  • 2Morten Thorsby
  • 3Aarón Martín
  • 17Ruslan Malinovskyi
  • 29Lorenzo Colombo
  • 32Morten Wetche Frendrup
  • 5Leo Østigård
  • 1Nicola Leali
  • 22Johan Vasquez
  • 9Vítor Oliveira
  • 15Brooke Norton-Cuffy
  • 27Alessandro Marcandalli

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1571 – 1472

Recent form

AC MilanWWWWW
GenoaWWLLD
#TeamPGDPts
1AC Milan35+1563
2Genoa35-938

Head to head

  • Genoa 1–2 AC Milan2026-05-17

Match preview

AC Milan host Genoa in the Serie A on 8 January 2026. AC Milan sit 5th on 63 points and Genoa are 16th on 38. AC Milan have won 5 of their last 5 (WWWWW), while Genoa have won 2 of 5 (WWLLD). In their last 1 meetings, AC Milan won 1, Genoa won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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