Kick-off · Wed, 6 Jan, 11:00 pm ISTMatchday 18
AC Milan vs Fiorentina: Prediction
AC Milan58%Home win
Fiorentina58% Home win23% Draw19% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-0
Expected goals (model)1.87 – 0.98
Team rating (Elo)1553 – 1464
Recent form
AC MilanWDWWLFiorentinaDLLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AC Milan | 8 | +5 | 15 |
| 2 | Fiorentina | 8 | -7 | 5 |
Head to head
- Fiorentina 1–1 AC Milan2026-01-11
- AC Milan 2–1 Fiorentina2025-10-19
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
