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FTMatchday 3

AC Milan vs Bologna: Prediction

📍 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
AC MilanBologna
  1. Pervis Estupiñányellow card10'
  2. Fikayo Tomoriyellow card18'
  3. Alexis Saelemaekersyellow card45'
  4. Strahinja Pavlovićon46'
  5. Mike Maignanon56'
  6. Luka Modricassist Alexis Saelemaekers61'
  7. 62'Charalambos Lykogiannison
  8. 63'Giovanni Fabbianon
  9. Ruben Loftus-Cheekon65'
  10. Youssouf Fofanaon65'
  11. 73'Juan Mirandayellow card
  12. 74'Nicolò Cambiaghion
  13. 74'Riccardo Orsolinion
  14. 83'Santiago Castroon
  15. Santiago Giménezon85'
  16. 86'Lukasz Skorupskiyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

AC MilanBologna
  • 39%Possession61%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)0
  • 14Shots5
  • 3Shots on target0
  • 7Corners4
  • 17Fouls16
  • 3Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides1
  • 0Saves2
  • 335Passes521

Line-ups

AC Milan

  • 8Ruben Loftus-Cheek
  • 14Luka Modric
  • 16Mike Maignan
  • 12Adrien Rabiot
  • 23Fikayo Tomori
  • 46Matteo Gabbia
  • 19Youssouf Fofana
  • 56Alexis Saelemaekers
  • 2Pervis Estupiñán
  • 31Strahinja Pavlović
  • 7Santiago Giménez

Bologna

  • 1Lukasz Skorupski
  • 8Remo Freuler
  • 19Lewis Ferguson
  • 7Riccardo Orsolini
  • 22Charalambos Lykogiannis
  • 20Nadir Zortea
  • 26Jhon Lucumí
  • 28Nicolò Cambiaghi
  • 80Giovanni Fabbian
  • 14Torbjørn Heggem
  • 9Santiago Castro

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1571 – 1534

Recent form

AC MilanL
BolognaL
#TeamPGDPts
1AC Milan35+1563
2Bologna35+453

Head to head

  • AC Milan 2–4 Bologna2026-10-28
  • Bologna 0–3 AC Milan2026-02-03

Match preview

AC Milan host Bologna in the Serie A on 14 September 2025. AC Milan sit 5th on 63 points and Bologna are 8th on 53. AC Milan have won 0 of their last 1 (L), while Bologna have won 0 of 1 (L). In their last 2 meetings, AC Milan won 1, Bologna won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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