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FTMatchday 36

AC Milan vs Atalanta: Prediction

📍 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals
AC MilanAtalanta
  1. 7'Éderson
  2. 29'Davide Zappacostaassist Nikola Krstović
  3. Rafael Leãoyellow card34'
  4. Ruben Loftus-Cheekon46'
  5. 48'Giorgio Scalvinion
  6. 51'Giacomo Raspadoriassist Éderson
  7. 55'Davide Zappacostaon
  8. Koni De Winteron58'
  9. Santiago Giménezon58'
  10. Rafael Leãoon58'
  11. 63'Rafael Leãoon
  12. 63'Charles De Ketelaereon
  13. 70'Isak Hienyellow card
  14. Davide Bartesaghion80'
  15. Strahinja Pavlovićassist Samuele Ricci88'
  16. Adrien Rabiotyellow card89'
  17. Pervis Estupiñányellow card89'
  18. Alexis Saelemaekersyellow card90'
  19. 90'Raoul Bellanovayellow card
  20. 90'Nikola Krstovićyellow card
  21. Christopher Nkunkupenalty90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

AC MilanAtalanta
  • 57%Possession43%
  • 1.94Expected goals (xG)1.08
  • 20Shots9
  • 9Shots on target5
  • 2Corners2
  • 8Fouls17
  • 4Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides2
  • 2Saves8
  • 541Passes411

Line-ups

AC Milan

  • 8Ruben Loftus-Cheek
  • 16Mike Maignan
  • 12Adrien Rabiot
  • 10Rafael Leão
  • 46Matteo Gabbia
  • 56Alexis Saelemaekers
  • 4Samuele Ricci
  • 31Strahinja Pavlović
  • 5Koni De Winter
  • 7Santiago Giménez
  • 33Davide Bartesaghi

Atalanta

  • 77Davide Zappacosta
  • 15Marten de Roon
  • 23Sead Kolasinac
  • 18Giacomo Raspadori
  • 17Charles De Ketelaere
  • 29Marco Carnesecchi
  • 59Nicola Zalewski
  • 4Isak Hien
  • 42Giorgio Scalvini
  • 13Éderson
  • 90Nikola Krstović

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1571 – 1515

Recent form

AC MilanLLWDL
AtalantaWLDLD
#TeamPGDPts
1AC Milan35+1563
2Atalanta35+1454

Head to head

  • AC Milan 3–2 Atalanta2026-10-18
  • Atalanta 1–1 AC Milan2025-10-28

Match preview

AC Milan host Atalanta in the Serie A on 10 May 2026. AC Milan sit 5th on 63 points and Atalanta are 7th on 54. AC Milan have won 1 of their last 5 (LLWDL), while Atalanta have won 1 of 5 (WLDLD). In their last 2 meetings, AC Milan won 1, Atalanta won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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