Kick-off · রবি ২৯ নভেঃ, ০২:০০ PM ISTMatchday 11
Arema vs Persebaya Surabaya: Prediction
Arema38%Home win
Persebaya Surabaya38% Home win26% Draw36% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.38 – 1.32
Team rating (Elo)1511 – 1563
Recent form
AremaDDLLWPersebaya SurabayaWDLWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persebaya Surabaya | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 2 | Arema | 7 | +2 | 9 |
Head to head
- Arema 0–4 Persebaya Surabaya2026-04-28
- Persebaya Surabaya 1–1 Arema2025-11-22
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
