Kick-off · 6 జన, బుధ 01:45 AM ISTMatchday 20
Sunderland vs Liverpool: Prediction
Sunderland44%Away win
Liverpool31% Home win25% Draw44% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.26 – 1.55
Team rating (Elo)1451 – 1556
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +3 | 15 | |
| 2 | 8 | -8 | 5 |
Head to head
- Sunderland 0–1 Liverpool2026-02-11
- Liverpool 1–1 Sunderland2025-12-03
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.