Kick-off · 5 డిసెం, శని 08:30 PM ISTMatchday 14
Newcastle United vs Sunderland: Prediction
Newcastle United52%Home win
Sunderland52% Home win24% Draw24% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.75 – 1.12
Team rating (Elo)1490 – 1451
Recent form
Newcastle UnitedLWLLWSunderlandLLLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United | 8 | -2 | 11 |
| 2 | Sunderland | 8 | -8 | 5 |
Head to head
- Newcastle United 1–2 Sunderland2026-03-22
- Sunderland 1–0 Newcastle United2025-12-14
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
