Kick-off · 31 డిసెం, గురు 01:00 AM ISTMatchday 18
Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest: Prediction
Newcastle United50%Home win
Nottingham Forest50% Home win24% Draw26% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.69 – 1.16
Team rating (Elo)1490 – 1465
Recent form
Newcastle UnitedLWLLWNottingham ForestWLLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United | 8 | -2 | 11 |
| 2 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | -4 | 6 |
Head to head
- Nottingham Forest 1–1 Newcastle United2026-05-10
- Newcastle United 2–0 Nottingham Forest2025-10-05
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
