Kick-off · 27 ఫిబ్ర, శని 08:30 PM ISTMatchday 27
Manchester United vs Arsenal: Prediction
Manchester United45%Away win
Arsenal30% Home win25% Draw45% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.24 – 1.58
Team rating (Elo)1532 – 1644
Recent form
Manchester UnitedLDDDLArsenalWLWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 | Manchester United | 8 | -3 | 7 |
Head to head
- Arsenal 2–3 Manchester United2026-01-25
- Manchester United 0–1 Arsenal2025-08-17
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
