FTMatchday 5
Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen: Prediction
Mainz3–4
Bayer LeverkusenNot enough past results yet.
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1514 – 1506
Recent form
MainzLWDWWBayer LeverkusenLDLWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 | Mainz | 6 | +5 | 10 |
Head to head
- Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 Mainz2026-02-28
- Mainz 3–4 Bayer Leverkusen2025-10-18
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
