Kick-off · 30 జన, శని 08:30 PM ISTMatchday 23
Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest: Prediction
Chelsea52%Home win
Nottingham Forest52% Home win24% Draw24% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.74 – 1.13
Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1465
Recent form
ChelseaDLWWLNottingham ForestWLLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 2 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | -4 | 6 |
Head to head
- Chelsea 1–3 Nottingham Forest2026-05-04
- Nottingham Forest 0–3 Chelsea2025-10-18
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
