Kick-off · 30 మే, ఆది 08:30 PM ISTMatchday 38
Chelsea vs Brentford: Prediction
Chelsea43%Home win
Brentford43% Home win25% Draw32% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.54 – 1.27
Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1521
Recent form
ChelseaDLWWLBrentfordDWDLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 2 | Brentford | 8 | +5 | 11 |
Head to head
- Brentford 3–0 Chelsea2026-09-18
- Chelsea 2–0 Brentford2026-01-17
- Brentford 2–2 Chelsea2025-09-13
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
