Kick-off · 13 మార్చి, శని 08:30 PM ISTMatchday 29
Bournemouth vs Newcastle United: Prediction
Bournemouth53%Home win
Newcastle United53% Home win23% Draw24% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.77 – 1.11
Team rating (Elo)1534 – 1490
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | -2 | 11 | |
| 2 | 8 | -1 | 9 |
Head to head
- Newcastle United 2–2 Bournemouth2026-09-05
- Newcastle United 1–2 Bournemouth2026-04-18
- Bournemouth 0–0 Newcastle United2025-09-21
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.