FTMatchday 5
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: Prediction
Borussia Dortmund2–2
Werder BremenNot enough past results yet.
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1529 – 1475
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +5 | 14 | |
| 2 | 6 | +1 | 11 |
Head to head
- Werder Bremen 0–2 Borussia Dortmund2026-05-16
- Borussia Dortmund 3–0 Werder Bremen2026-01-13
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.