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FTMatchday 4

Arsenal vs Brighton and Hove Albion: Prediction

Arsenal
2–0
Brighton and Hove Albion

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus · who picked what

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1532 – 1535

Recent form

ArsenalWWWWW
Brighton and Hove AlbionWWDWL
#TeamPGDPts

Head to head

  • Brighton and Hove Albion 3–0 Arsenal2026-09-19
  • Brighton and Hove Albion 0–1 Arsenal2026-03-04
  • Arsenal 2–1 Brighton and Hove Albion2025-12-27

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.