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Kick-off · ஏப். 11, ஞாயி., 08:30 PM ISTMatchday 31

Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao: Prediction

Villarreal
54%Home win
Athletic Bilbao

Tipster consensus · who picked what

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-0
Expected goals (model)1.70 – 0.99
Team rating (Elo)1544 – 1483

Recent form

VillarrealLWDLW
Athletic BilbaoDDDLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Athletic Bilbao8+512
2Villarreal9+111

Head to head

  • Athletic Bilbao 1–2 Villarreal2026-04-12
  • Villarreal 1–0 Athletic Bilbao2025-09-27

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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