Kick-off · டிச. 5, சனி, 08:00 PM ISTMatchday 12
Union Berlin vs Hamburg: Prediction
Union Berlin46%Home win
Hamburg46% Home win23% Draw31% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.73 – 1.39
Team rating (Elo)1457 – 1468
Recent form
Union BerlinLLWDDHamburgLWWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamburg | 6 | -5 | 9 |
| 2 | Union Berlin | 6 | -10 | 6 |
Head to head
- Hamburg 3–2 Union Berlin2026-02-14
- Union Berlin 0–0 Hamburg2025-09-28
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
