Kick-off · நவ. 28, சனி, 01:30 AM ISTMatchday 12
Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea: Prediction
Nottingham Forest41%Home win
Chelsea41% Home win25% Draw34% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.48 – 1.33
Team rating (Elo)1465 – 1502
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +2 | 13 | |
| 2 | 8 | -4 | 6 |
Head to head
- Chelsea 1–3 Nottingham Forest2026-05-04
- Nottingham Forest 0–3 Chelsea2025-10-18
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.