Kick-off · ஜன. 16, சனி, 08:30 PM ISTMatchday 21
Newcastle United vs Fulham: Prediction
Newcastle United47%Home win
Fulham47% Home win25% Draw28% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.63 – 1.20
Team rating (Elo)1490 – 1483
Recent form
Newcastle UnitedLWLLWFulhamDDLWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United | 8 | -2 | 11 |
| 2 | Fulham | 8 | -2 | 8 |
Head to head
- Fulham 2–0 Newcastle United2026-05-24
- Newcastle United 2–1 Fulham2025-10-25
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
