Kick-off · ஜன. 17, ஞாயி., 11:00 PM ISTMatchday 20
Napoli vs Fiorentina: Prediction
Napoli62%Home win
Fiorentina62% Home win21% Draw17% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-0
Expected goals (model)1.99 – 0.91
Team rating (Elo)1480 – 1464
Recent form
NapoliLLWDWFiorentinaDLLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | 8 | +7 | 14 |
| 2 | Fiorentina | 8 | -7 | 5 |
Head to head
- Fiorentina 1–1 Napoli2026-09-20
- Napoli 2–1 Fiorentina2026-01-31
- Fiorentina 1–3 Napoli2025-09-13
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
